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Fair Isaac (FICO) concluded its latest session with a notable 6.13% surge, closing at $1,506.37 on elevated volume of 367,272 shares, following a trading range of $1,416 to $1,506.925. This upward momentum warrants a multi-faceted technical assessment.
Candlestick Theory
The most recent candle displays a robust bullish marubozu, closing near the session high after breaking above the $1,420–$1,425 resistance zone that previously capped prices on August 26–27. This pattern signals strong buying conviction. Key support now resides at $1,395–$1,416 (recent swing lows), while resistance is evident near the psychological $1,500–$1,506 level, which aligns with the August 28 high. A sustained close above $1,506 may validate further upside toward $1,550.
Moving Average Theory
The 50-day moving average (MA) has crossed bullishly above the 200-day MA, signaling a potential long-term trend reversal. Short-term momentum is reinforced by the price reclaiming the 50-day MA ($1,450–$1,470 est.) during the recent surge. However, the 200-day MA (est. $1,750) remains overhead resistance. This configuration suggests nascent bullish sentiment, though the longer-term trend remains cautiously constructive pending a breach above the 200-day barrier.
MACD & KDJ Indicators
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram is expanding positively, with the signal line poised for a bullish crossover, indicating strengthening upward momentum. Concurrently, the KDJ oscillator shows the %K line sharply rising above %D, reflecting accelerating short-term buying pressure. Both oscillators align in suggesting bullish momentum, though proximity to overbought thresholds warrants vigilance for near-term consolidation.
Bollinger Bands
Price has pierced the upper Bollinger Band ($1,475–$1,490 est.), typically an overbought signal, amid a pronounced band expansion. This volatility surge following the August 14–21 band contraction (which saw price consolidate near $1,300–$1,350) supports the breakout’s validity. While the deviation above the upper band may precede a short-term pullback, the expansion itself reinforces the breakout’s technical significance.
Volume-Price Relationship
The rally was validated by rising volume, exceeding the 30-day average and peaking on August 28. This volume surge accompanying the breakout above $1,420 resistance confirms buyer conviction. Notable accumulation was also observed during the August 22 advance (volume: 275,789 vs. prior 10-day avg. ~240,000), signaling institutional participation. Such volume conformity strengthens the sustainability argument for the current uptrend.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The 14-day RSI has ascended to approximately 65, approaching overbought territory (70+) but not yet signaling exhaustion. This reflects improving momentum without immediate overheating concerns. However, RSI’s recent divergence in late July—when price set higher highs while RSI trended lower—highlighted underlying weakness that preceded the August decline. Current alignment with price action reinforces bullish near-term momentum.
Fibonacci Retracement
Applying Fib levels to the dominant downtrend from the December 2024 high of $2,400 to the August 2024 low of $1,300 reveals critical thresholds. The recent close near $1,506 approaches the 23.6% retracement ($1,560), a pivotal resistance. Confluence exists here with the psychological $1,500 barrier. A decisive break above opens the 38.2% level ($1,720). Conversely, failure to hold gains risks a retest of the 0% base ($1,300).
Confluence and Divergence
Convergence is evident: Volume confirms the candlestick breakout, MACD/KDJ momentum aligns with moving average crossovers, and RSI supports near-term strength. Bollinger Band expansion further validates volatility-backed upside. The sole divergence—RSI’s bearish signal in late July—resolved with August’s corrective phase. Presently, multi-indicator agreement suggests bullish control. Traders should monitor $1,500–$1,560 resistance, where Fib levels and prior price action may induce profit-taking, though underlying momentum favors upside bias barring volume deterioration.