’Texas Republican primary for U.S. Senate is going to a May 26 runoff between incumbent Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton after neither cleared 50% of the vote in a crowded field.
What happened
-
Cornyn finished first in the multi‑candidate primary but fell short of a majority, triggering a runoff under Texas law.
-
Paxton placed second, advancing to a one‑on‑one contest with Cornyn; Rep. Wesley Hunt and several minor candidates trailed far behind.
-
Major outlets are projecting the Cornyn–Paxton matchup as returns show both consolidating most of the Republican vote between them.
Why it matters
-
The race has become a proxy fight over the future direction of the GOP in Texas, pitting Cornyn’s long‑tenured, leadership‑backed conservatism against Paxton’s more confrontational, MAGA‑aligned brand.
-
National Republicans have poured tens of millions into supporting Cornyn, warning that Paxton’s extensive ethical and legal controversies could put an otherwise safe GOP Senate seat at risk in November.
-
Republican primary electorates in Texas tend to be more ideologically conservative, which could give Paxton a structural advantage in a lower‑turnout runoff even though Cornyn leads the initial vote count.
Key numbers snapshot
| Candidate | Status | Approx. primary share | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Cornyn | In runoff (1st) | Low‑mid 40% range | Four‑term incumbent, heavy backing from GOP leadership and outside spenders |
| Ken Paxton | In runoff (2nd) | High‑30s to ~40% | State AG, strong support from Trump‑aligned base, significant ethical baggage |
| Wesley Hunt | Eliminated (3rd) | Low‑teens | Houston‑area congressman whose late entry helped force a runoff |
Looking to the runoff
-
The runoff is scheduled for May 26, giving both campaigns nearly three months to intensify attacks and consolidate voters from the eliminated candidates.
-
Cornyn is expected to stress electability and the risk that Paxton could endanger GOP control of the seat, while Paxton will frame the race as a choice between an establishment insider and a fighter aligned with President Trump’s agenda.




